"Brown has to beat Coakley by 4.8 percent plus, or he loses outright. "

And after it's over, this is what we'll be hearing.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9TuLBa-rgBk

Posted by JorgXMcKie at January 19, 2010 10:30 AM

keep in mind that the great bulk of absentee ballot requests came before anybody thought Brown had a serious chance (and therefore there was little perceived need to cheat), and many were returned well in advance of the election itself. Absentee requests trended heavily toward the suburbs where Brown has a great deal of strength - and requests were lower in Dem strongholds. Turnout in Boston and other core cities right now is light while ouside Boston/Cambridge etc it's a mob scene.

Posted by bill at January 19, 2010 10:35 AM

Water is wet, the sky is blue, and Democrat vote share always increases during recounts.

Posted by Conservadick at January 19, 2010 10:42 AM

While I agree that a win by a margin of 4.8% of 2.2 million votes would assure a Brown victory (or 6.6% of 1.6 million votes), to denote that as the "margin of theft" is dramatics. You might be able to convince me of 50,000 votes if you were extra convincing, but not 150,000. No way. I don't buy it at all.

BTW, I'm firmly believe Brown will handily surpass even the (IMHO) ridiculous 4.8%/6.6% margin of theft.

Posted by Jazz at January 19, 2010 10:51 AM

i wouldn't be shocked by the absentee ballots request...

snowbirds.

if they are all frauds, they still have to be plausible. on a 66-33 split, coakley nets 33k.


she is down by at least 200k, as a hunch, and would still need 160k vote margin. even providing for massive fruad, which would still need to follow the 66-33 split, she would still need 500k fraud votes.

I put turnout at less than 2.3 million, which is still quite good.

brown will clear a million, coakley won't.

Posted by mark l. at January 19, 2010 10:56 AM

The Democrats' motto is "If at first you don't succeed, count, count again." It was true of Al Gore, it was true of Christine Gregoire, and it was true of Al Franken. If they try it this time, there should be hell to pay.

Posted by VancouverConservative at January 19, 2010 11:24 AM

It will be interesting to watch just how far the Dems will go to steal this election.

Posted by higgins1990 at January 19, 2010 11:24 AM

My good friend, who lives in Barney Franks district, went to vote absentee last week as she would be in Denver for a few days. There were a lot of people there to vote, and they were voting for Brown. What number the dead and the fraudulent will amount to I do not know.

Posted by james wilson at January 19, 2010 11:27 AM

Thanks for that link to youtube Jorg. I'm moving the clip into my sidebar.

Posted by vanderleun at January 19, 2010 11:37 AM

I believe that Brown shall win by 15-20 points.

Posted by Milwaukee Mike at January 19, 2010 12:28 PM

This is not going to be close. The deciding words are here:

http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/2010/01/19/video-diehard-massachusetts-democrat-says-mr-brown-has-the-edge-today/

Posted by datechguy at January 19, 2010 1:41 PM

If, when the dust settles, the Democrats are widely believed to have stolen this election, it will be dangerous for American democracy. People will start to rebel against a system they perceive as being rigged. I have no doubt the Democrats will try, but let us hope they fail.

Posted by KenB at January 19, 2010 2:00 PM

The Democrats don't have to steal the election, they just have to delay the results. If they make blatant attempts at fraud and Brown eventually wins a challenge, it can still delay his taking office long enough to pass obamacare.

Posted by lknt2rf9hv2 at January 19, 2010 2:25 PM

If, when the dust settles, the Democrats are widely believed to have stolen this election, it will be dangerous for American democracy. People will start to rebel against a system they perceive as being rigged.

You are mistaken. The Democrats are widely believed to have stolen both Christine Gregoire's and Al Franken's election, but no rebellion is in sight.

Posted by Bob Smith at January 19, 2010 5:55 PM